I’ve predicted publicly for a year now that Hillary- although a prohibitive favorite- might never become the Democratic nominee.
Don’t look now, but at this moment Hillary is still far from a sure thing to become the Democrat standard-bearer. She’s certainly the favorite. As far as the “experts” are concerned she has the nomination locked up. But she appears to be crawling on her knees, over razor blades, towards the finish line.
First, while she’s the clear-cut delegate winner and we all know that everyone loves a winner, it’s gotta be downright frightening for Democrats that she still can’t put away a wild-eyed radical socialist from Vermont who wants 90% tax rates and would add $18 trillion to the national debt.
Then, there’s the FBI. They are closing in. No matter how many times Hillary or her delusional aides claim the investigation is only a “security inquiry” it doesn’t change reality. FBI Director Comey recently set them straight. The FBI doesn’t do “security inquiries.” Hillary is the subject of a “criminal investigation.”
Then there’s that millstone hanging around Hillary’s neck – Bill Clinton. Can you become president when your husband is the D.C. version of Bill Cosby? We’re about to find out.
The stories about Bill’s reckless and possibly criminal behavior keep popping out of the closet. First there’s the beautiful blonde “friend” who got $2 million from the Clinton Global Initiative and another $800,000 in government contracts with Bill’s help. Don’t we all wish we had friends like that?
Worse, there’s the new disclosure that Bill took 26 flights on a sex offender’s plane, called “The Lolita Express.” It flew nonstop to “Orgy Island” where old men cavorted with young (13 to 15-year old) girls. Bill flew five times without his Secret Service detail. This isn’t a scandal, it’s a disaster for Hillary.
The question is: Can Hillary crawl past the primary finish line? And if she does, will she be so crippled for the general election that she becomes a sitting duck for Donald Trump?
Have you seen the latest polls? She’s tied (within the statistical margin of error) with Trump nationally…and dead even in key battle ground states. That’s not good news. If Hillary had a good chance to beat Trump, she should be up by double digits right now.
I have close friends in high Democrat circles. Trust me, they are beginning to panic. They are starting to think about Plan B… and that doesn’t include either Hillary or Bernie being their nominee.
So let me lay out a very plausible scenario. What if Hillary’s ratings erosion continues, or even deepens? What if over the next 60 to 90 days she finds herself down 5 to 7 points (or more) to Trump? Would the panic become hysteria?
What if the FBI recommends indicting Hillary over the email scandal- a very real possibility.
Would Obama allow the DOJ to indict? I used to think “no.” But I now believe the answer to that question depends on only one factor- is Hillary beating Trump?
Every DC insider knows Obama has no love or loyalty for Hillary. I’m betting if Obama senses Hillary is a sinking Titanic, and he still has time before the convention, he will throw her under the bus.
At this point, I would guess he gives Hillary a choice that is no choice at all. Be indicted, lose the presidential race, and risk a long jail term, or announce to the world that your cough has become a real medical issue and you will have to decline the nomination, then receive a presidential pardon.
That means all her delegates become free agents and a new nominee can be substituted at the Democratic Convention in August. I’ve always predicted Obama would prefer Joe Biden or Elizabeth Warren as the nominee, or the combination of Biden/Warren. He may yet get his wish. But this much I know:
Hillary is sinking faster than the Titanic.