By Wayne Allyn Root
I love prediction markets- like Polymarket and Kalshi. I think they are the greatest way to predict outcomes- whether it be the economy, stocks, sports or political elections.
People who put their money where their mouth is, are far more accurate than pollsters. As we found with the 2024 election.
The fake polls- either because they purposely oversampe Democrats, or because MAGA voters don’t talk to pollsters- were all badly wrong in 2024. Not to mention 2016 and 2020.
While the prediction markets were all “on the money.”
That’s how I was able to predict the exact outcome of the 2024 election- I closely monitored the betting at prediction sites.
Therefore, I correctly predicted not only a Trump victory, but a 2-point popular vote margin, and Trump sweeping all seven battleground states. My predictions were the most accurate in the entire US media- but I had a “secret weapon”- the prediction markets.
Democrats immediately realized how important prediction markets were in two areas…
- The prediction markets in 2024 counteracted the fake polls.
- Prediction markets shape public opinion- because everyone loves a winner! So, whoever looks like they’re winning, gets a jolt of energy, enthusiasm and money! And the voters on the other side may be demoralized and stay home.
In other words, the odds at prediction markets can actually change the outcomes of elections.
But prediction markets are only important and accurate IF…
IF they are on the up and up.
IF they aren’t distorted, or manipulated.
IF they aren’t as fake as the polls.
Democrats (ie communists) are the worst scammers on the planet. They are smart, evil and cunning. And they have no conscience. Remember the famous words of communist organizer Saul Alinsky- “The ends justify the means.”
In other words, Democrats believe it’s justified to rig and steal elections to hijack the country, to pass their communist agenda.
Democrats are always one step ahead of us. But this time I’m one step ahead. I figured out their latest scam.
What if the prediction markets aren’t on the up and up? What if Democrats figured out how to distort them? What if they’re now as fake as the polls?
That’s exactly what has happened.
Democrats figured out that the prediction markets were screwing up their fake polls. The American people no longer believed the polls. But what if the odds at the prediction markets matched the fake polls? Well then, that would give the fake polls credibility.
So, fake polls, combined with the fake prediction market odds, create fake psychology, and can snatch a Democrat victory from the jaws of defeat.
What if this is happening in races all across America?
What if Democrat scammers figured out a way to game the system? How easy would it be to make that happen? It turns out very easy- if you have money to burn, if you have all the globalist billionaires on your side, if you’re friends with the enemies of America.
And that’s exactly what I believe has happened.
Most of the bettors at Polymarket and Kalshi are betting $10 and $20 and $100 and $1,000.
All it takes is $10,000 here and there to completely distort and change the odds in favor of Democrats who are losing- except now you’ve made it look like they’re winning (and maybe even winning big).
How about $100,000? What could you do to the odds at Polymarket with a $100,000 bet on Democrats?
A Republican who should be an overwhelming favorite could be turned into an overwhelming underdog.
Suddenly, the candidate look like a surefire loser. Which means his support, donations and even volunteers for his campaign could all dry up. Because no one likes a loser.
Remember Democrats are always flush with cash. They have the deep-pocketed unions. They have globalist billionaires like George Soros and Neville Roy Singham. And worst of all, Democrats are funded by foreign money. They are backed by China and the CCP, the Mexican Drug Cartels, and Iran.
America’s enemies win big, if Trump and the GOP are defeated.
Trillions of dollars are on the line if China wins the trade war (because Democrats are in charge)…if tariffs are off the table (because Democrats are in charge)…if the border is open (because Democrats are in charge)…if drug trafficking and human trafficking is flowing (because Democrats are in charge)…if America walks away from the Iran war with our tail between our legs (because Democrats are in charge).
Well guess what? It’s legal to bet at Polymarket in over 100 countries.
I believe foreign money from globalist billionaires and America’s enemies (like the CCP) are flowing into prediction markets with the goal of distorting the odds. To make it look like Democrats are winning easily- to match the fake polls.
Millions of dollars are chump change for billionaires and foreign countries like China.
Do you really believe James Talifreako is a huge favorite to win Texas? Or Democrats are an overwhelming favorite to win the US Senate? Really?
Prediction market odds are now as fake as polls. Simply spread $1 million around and all the odds explode in favor of Democrats- creating the false impression that the GOP is going to lose in a blue wave landslide.
It’s all a scam. And the result is Democrat voters are trusting false data- you know, like the Covid vaccine.
There is no blue wave. There is no Democrat landslide.
Can Democrats win the House? Sure. They have every historical advantage.
And Democrats cheat like crazy. They rig, and steal, and use fake ballots, and dead voters, and millions of illegal aliens voting with mail-in ballots- without Voter ID or proof of citizenship. They are even allowed- thanks to the Supreme Court- to count votes for days past Election Day.
On Election night, the GOP may be looking like winners- and seven days later we may lose the House by a few stolen seats.
But we aren’t looking at a blue wave. And this won’t be an easy win for Democrats. I believe this election will be much closer than any of the experts predict. A few seats (maybe stolen seats) will decide the outcome in the House.
I do predict the GOP will hold the Senate. And Ken Paxton will win Texas. God bless Texas.
The polls are fake, and now I believe, so are the odds at the prediction markets.
Democrat voters are going to be shocked when they find out Trump isn’t “unpopular,” the GOP isn’t “doomed,” there is no blue wave, and there is no foregone conclusion about this election. Nothing is set in stone.
It’s up to you and me!
So, ignore the polls and prediction markets, and get out and vote- and take 10 friends, neighbors and relatives with you.
Don’t let anyone or anything discourage you, demoralize you, psyche you out, or talk you into giving up your most precious right as an American- VOTING.
Only “WE THE PEOPLE” determine elections.
Vote like your future, and the future of your children, depends on it. Because it does.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR: Wayne Allyn Root is a CEO, businessman, best-selling author, and national conservative TV and radio host, who has interviewed President Trump 17 times. Watch Wayne’s TV shows on Real Americas Voice TV- “America Speaks” weeknights and “America’s Top Ten Countdown” on weekends- and his daily video podcast “WAR Zone Live presented by The Gateway Pundit” daily at 4:30 PM ET/1:30 PM Pacific at TheGatewayPundit.com. His website is ROOTforAmerica.com. Read Wayne’s latest fun book, “How Illegal Immigrants Have Made America Great.” It’s 100+ blank pages. The joke is on Democrats!
